An Email exchange with Dr. Francisco Ayala
July 6, 2006
Dear Dr. Ayala,
Some years ago I
read an article you had written for Scientific American back in 1974
(?) entitled, "The Mechanisms of Evolution." As I read the article,
two separate points jumped out at me, and I have wondered ever since if you
have contemplated the significance of those two points taken together?
Paraphrasing from memory,
- One point was
that an organism's fitness depends on its own unique combination of
allelic genes.
- The other
point was that owing to the vast number of possible combinations of allelic
genes available even to siblings of the same parents, each individual is genetically
unique in the history of the universe (excluding identical siblings from the
same fertilized ova).
If I am not
terribly mistaken, these two points taken together call into question the
resolving power of Natural Selection and its ability to promote the
infiltration or removal of a mutation into or out of a population.
These two
points seem to undercut Darwin's conception of gradual evolution by
Natural Selection. The fitness of an organism must have far less to do with
the presence or absence of a particular mutation than with the unique
combination of hundreds or thousands of allelic genes. (Catastrophic mutations
are an obvious exception). And since each individual in every generation
receives its own unique mix of alleles, fitness is not heritable from the
parents in the same sense that genetic traits are heritable. Rather,
individual fitness must be largely random.
Can you correct
my understanding of this matter? Or, am I possibly on the right track?
Sincerely,
Jim Pamplin
Dear Mr. Pamplin:
My two points are quite compatible with (indeed, are part of the explanation of)
evolution by natural selection. It is your logic that is at fault, as you will
see if you bother reading any serious book about evolutionary genetics.
It is good that you are interested in the subject.
Best wishes,
Francisco Ayala
July 10, 2006
Dear Dr.
Ayala,
Thank you for
your response to my inquiry. Your comment that my logic is flawed, which I take
very seriously coming from a scientist of world renown, professor of
biology, philosophy and logic, gave me pause to wonder, just what is my logic?
Boiling my own verbiage down to brass tacks, I think my logic must goes
something like this:
IF
- The
fitness of an individual organism is based on its genotype – a unique
combination of thousands of allelic genes (your first point), and
- Each
individual genotype is probably unique in the history of the universe, so
great are the number of possible allelic combinations available to
offspring even of the same
set of parents (your second point), and
- Unique
genotypes are not transmitted to subsequent generations (by definition),
THEN,
- Individual
fitness is not transmitted to subsequent generations, i.e., fitness is not
heritable in the same sense that individual traits are heritable.
The best
formulation of natural selection, which has come to my attention, is given by
John Endler in his 1986 book, Natural Selection in the Wild. It
carefully avoids the stigma of a tautology by stating,
IF, within a
species or population, the individuals
- Vary
in some attribute or trait q (physiological, morphological, or behavioral)
– the condition of variation;
- Leave
different numbers of offspring in consistent relation to the presence or
absence of trait q – the condition of selection differences;
- Transmit
the trait q faithfully between parents and offspring – the condition of heredity;
THEN,
- The
frequency of trait q will differ predictably between the population of all
parents and the population of all offspring.
If conclusion
D in my syllogism above is correct, then Endler’s condition B must
be voided. Individuals do not leave different numbers of
offspring in consistent relation to the presence or absence of trait q. And,
barring condition B, Endler’s formulation of natural selection fails.
Dr. Ayala, my
questions are two:
- What,
if any, logical flaw do you find in my syllogism above?
- Are
you aware of any formulation of natural selection which can survive the
loss of a consistent relation between the number of offspring produced by
an individual and the presence or absence of a trait
q in that same individual?
Thank you
again for encouraging my interest in this matter.
Sincerely,
Jim Pamplin
July 13, 2006
Dear Mr. Pamplin:
Endler's second condition (B in your letter) is is correct as confirmed by
thousands of experiments in nature and the laboratory (including many by
myself).
Sincerely yours,
Francisco Ayala
July 14, 2006
Dear Dr. Ayala,
Thank you for communicating
with me again about this fascinating subject. I appreciate your kindness
very much.
I think you may
agree that Endler's condition B (individuals leave different numbers of
offspring in consistent relation to the presence or absence of a trait q ) pertains
only under conditions and to the extent that the rule of your first point is
suspended, (short-circuiting my syllogism and its conclusion that fitness is
not heritable in the same sense that genetic traits are heritable). An
individual's fitness depends on its unique allelic mix (your
first point) unless the influence of one allelic contest (for
example trait q versus q' ) overwhelms and suppresses the combined effect
of genetic differences at thousands of other loci. Only when the selectivity
of a trait q is so great as to overshadow the influence of many other genetic
differences, will individuals leave different numbers of offspring in
consistent relation to the presence or absence of trait q.
This is important
because it shows that very low profile allelic contests, and indeed contests
between whole unique genomes, are sometimes suppressed by high profile, high
selection trait competitions. In fact, as you have pointed out, there are
thousands of examples of this condition in nature and in the laboratory.
I would venture
to guess that most high selection trait competitions are between wild
traits and their catastrophic or debilitating mutant variations.
It
is my understanding that a large majority of mutations are very close to
neutral in terms of selection. And yet these are the grist of the cumulative
natural selection processes to which biological complexity is
attributed. Of necessity, the fine tuning of genes coding for highly
complex biochemical pathways and their regulatory control systems must
involve innumerable small steps of low selection if such
systems are to be explained naturalistically. (The accidental
occurrence of high selection genetic innovations to create such complexity
would challenge the probabilistic resources of the universe and invoke
Miracles.)
So,
it appears to me we are caught on the horns of a dilemma:
- On
the one hand, in thousands of examples, high selection trait
competitions mask and overwhelm low profile allelic competitions,
suppressing the possibility of cumulative natural selection leading to
biological complexity.
- On
the other hand, where high selection trait competitions are absent,
the rule of your first point applies. Now, the selection of whole unique
genomes masks low profile allelic differences, and again, the
possibility of cumulative natural selection by small steps is suppressed.
This
goes to the heart of the resolving power of natural selection. If low
selection genetic differences cannot be teased out from under the
umbrella of larger contests to experience the scrutiny of natural selection,
they cannot participate in cumulative selection to achieve biological
complexity.
So,
my question is-
- in
the face of overwhelming competition from high selection allelic contests on
the one hand,
- and
in the face of overwhelming competition between whole unique genomes on the
other hand,
how can natural
selection achieve the resolving power necessary to create highly complex
biological systems?
Very Sincerely,
Jim Pamplin
July 14, 2006
Dear Mr. Pamplin:
I regret that I don't have the time to engage in discussion/tutorial with each
of the many people who write me with questions/challenges about the theory of
evolution. I usually briefly respond to the first query, but not to the
ensuing ones.
I will only add that your "guess" in paragraph four is mistaken.
Sincerely yours,
Francisco Ayala
July 14, 2006
I understand, and
appreciate your having made these exceptions.
Best Wishes.
Jim Pamplin